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Ranking Fantasy Baseball Pitchers, Lineup Tips For Wednesday’s MLB Games

Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, daily batter upgrades and demotions to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy tips are geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

To note: This file will be updated with any overnight pitch changes or weather-related game postponements, as well as adding the latest MLB game odds at the stated posting time.

What you need to know for Wednesday’s MLB games

By Todd Zola

  • Through Monday’s action, the Miami Marlins ERA team was 3.37, 10th best in the league. Elieser Hernandez (19% rostered in ESPN leagues) is one of the few Marlins pitchers to get off to a slow start, having allowed six homers in 20 1/3 innings, resulting in a 5.75 ERA. However, Hernandez stoked 21 with just five steps, powering a more bullish 4.31 xFIP and 3.79 SIERA. Look for Hernandez to bring his actual ERA closer to what’s expected with a Wednesday date against the Arizona Diamondbacks, a team with the fourth-lowest wOBA. Hernandez registers as the best streamer of the day, as well as a solid DFS game.

  • At least so far, more starter casters than usual are being stored in the stash, making it harder to find available streamers. Three examples on Wednesday’s record are Cal Quantrill (68%), Dylan Bundy (65%) and MacKenzie Gore (60%). In previous seasons, the three likely would have been listed in less than half of the ESPN leagues. If you’re looking for additional startups, it’s worth checking out all three. If they’re all already on another team, Baltimore Orioles rookie Kyle Bradish (1%) is a decent fallback option. Bradish limited the Boston Red Sox to just two earned runs from six frames in his MLB debut and is now drawing the Minnesota Twins to Camden Yards in what appears to be a much friendlier launch location.

  • One of the interesting bits of Monday’s box scores are three New York Yankees interceptions, a team previously criticized for questionable roster construction being too reliant on the ball leaving the court. While some of the base run in the Yankees’ 3-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays was likely due to scouting reports on Tyler Heineman, it’s obvious the Yankees will fabricate runs when needed like Anthony Rizzo, Aaron Judge, Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Aaron Hicks all have a pair of steals, two behind team leader Tim Locastro. The takeaways are that Yankees hitters are strong trade targets for latent steals while other teams may look to exploit Heineman while he’s behind the plate.

  • The return of nine-inning doubles means it’s once again advantageous to broadcast hitters scheduled to play a pair. With twin bills shortened in 2021, fantasy managers risked getting just seven innings from batters who had only played one game. With Tuesday’s washout at Motown, the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates will now play a back-to-back doubleheader on Wednesday. Hitters from both sides are in play, including hosts Jonathan Schoop (52%), Jeimer Candelario (51%) and Robbie Grossman (46%) with hosts Daniel Vogelbach (7%), Michael Chavis (7%), Yoshi Tsutsugo ( 2%) and Ben Gamel (1%) the first choices of visitors.

  • Rain has been a problem throughout the Midwest. For the second time this week, a St. Louis Cardinals/Kansas City Royals interstate tilt had its start time brought forward to combat threatening evening weather. The game is now scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. After losing Adalberto Mondesi for the year, it didn’t take long for the Royals to promote top prospect MJ Melendez (2%). Melendez is clearly blocked behind the plate by Salvador Perez. However, Melendez is athletic enough to play in the infield and outfield. So, with Whit Merrifield and Hunter Dozier providing defensive flexibility, Melendez could well see some significant action. Given that won’t be enough for one-receiver formats, but Melendez is in play for those waiting for backstops in two-receiver setups.



Wednesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings


Top hitters under-50% listed for Wednesday

The best and worst hitters of the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, taking into account a variety of factors, including talent players, ballparks, relievers, weather, umpires, defense, receiver framing and more.

  • Rowdy Tellez (MIL, 1G — 8%) against Vladimir Gutierrez

  • Andrew McCutchen (MIL, LF – 41%) against Gutierrez

  • Wilmer Flores (SF, 3G — 38%) to Tony Gonsolin

  • Cesar Hernandez (WSH, 2G — 9%) at Austin Gomber

  • Avisail Garcia (MIA, RF — 50%) vs. Madison Bumgarner

  • Jose Iglesias (COL, SS — 3%) against Patrick Corbin

  • Jesus Aguilar (MIA, 1G – 34%) against Bumgarner

  • Maikel Franco (WSH, 3B — 6%) in Gomber

  • Yadiel Hernandez (WSH, LF — 1%) in Gomber

  • Gio Urshela (MIN, 3G — 18%) in Bradish


Worst hitters over 50% for Wednesday

  • Ian Happ (CHC, LF — 75%) against Lucas Giolito

  • Dansby Swanson (ATL, SS — 74%) at Tylor Megill

  • Adolis Garcia (TEX, CF — 50%) at Zack Wheeler

  • Julio Rodriguez (SEA, RF — 63%) at Justin Verlander

  • Travis d’Arnaud (ATL, C — 71%) at Megill

  • Frank Schwindel (CHC, 1B — 64%) against Giolito

  • JP Crawford (SEA, SS — 85%) at Verlander

  • Franmil Reyes (CLE, DH — 73%) against Gore

  • Adam Frazier (SEA, 2B — 55%) at Verlander

  • Owen Miller (CLE, 2G — 70%) against Gore